9. Increasing conflict between nations will stretch global supply chains

I believe we’re closer to armed conflict than ever. Despite the ending of Israel’s attack on Hamas in Gaza, the illegal invasion of the Ukraine by Russia continues – with US peace negotiations offering to  allow it to keep some of its ill-gotten gains -, while China has mounted its biggest ever war games just off the shares of Taiwan.

The ITC industry is dependent on rare earth metals form a number of war-torn regions. It is also very dependent on manufacturing in Taiwan and South Korea. Its supply chains will be stretched and could be broken completely under certain conditions.

Navigate our predictions – intro 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10