It’s that time of the year again when I make predictions for the new year. As always I’m starting of with a self assessment of last year’s expectations. It was a funny year – especially as strong regional growth was wiped out at an international level by the fall of almost all currencies against the $US. Thus a growth in local business in both Asia Pacific and EMEA looked like a fall in dollars. Nevertheless I was quite accurate in capturing the main themes and developments of the It and Communications market. This is how I score last year’s efforts.
| No. | My top 10 predictions | Score/10 |
| 1 | ITC markets make up for lost ground, growing 1.6% | 5 |
| 2 | Asia Pacific outperforms EMEA and the Americas – China grabs the international initiative | 10 |
| 3 | Country growth best in Turkey, worst in Russia | 5 |
| 4 | Gaming wins, printing falls in the battle between offerings | 10 |
| 5 | The year of the Revenue Cloud – Cloud service grows 14.8% | 10 |
| 6 | Businesses outspend consumers in a ‘top down’ market | 10 |
| 7 | Industry Sectors – health and education lead, government lags | 8 |
| 8 | Software Defined strategies become vital, but remain political and divisive | 9 |
| 9 | Converged Infrastructure and Integrated Systems will embrace modular designs and Cloud integration | 10 |
| 10 | Users are ‘doing IT’ for themselves – death to the mega trend! | 7 |
These scores combine to give my 2015 predictions an accuracy of 84% – better than the 79% we scored ourselves last year. As we address the coming year we’ll continue to look at relevant and measurable issues for the industry as a whole. If you’d like to get involved in the process – adding ideas or acting as an editor – please contact me at info@itcandor.com.